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These dashboards present the college football watchability index, which highlights the most- and least-watchable games of the week. The absolute value of the point spread is on the horizontal axis and this represents a measure of uncertainty of outcome. Lower point spreads, in absolute value terms, are expected to be closer games. The total (over/under) is plotted on the vertical axis, with higher totals representing games that are expected to be higher scoring. The shape of the point representing each game represents day and start time. The color of the point is differentiated by the use of Sagarin Ratings for each team and sums them for the two teams playing in the game. Gold represents a combined high sum (could be 2 good teams or a dominant team in the game) and Red represents a combined low sum (not among the better teams playing in the game).
The best game of the Mon-Thurs slate of bowls is Tuesday’s UCF-BYU game which is expected to be close and high scoring. Other anticipated close, but lower scoring, games are Tulane-Nevada, Georgia Southern-Louisiana Tech, and Florida Atlantic-Memphis. Less competitive, but expected higher scoring games on Thursday and Monday are Hawaii-Houston and North Texas-Appalachian St. Enjoy the early bowl games and I’ll post and update for Fri-Sat games on Friday.
See the First Steps: Football Analytics is available on Amazon.
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