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NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 – Saturday August 29, 2020 7:30 PM

kristinpaul123


This week’s NASCAR race is the Coke Zero Sugar 400 in Daytona. These dashboards combine prices from daily fantasy games, Salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel, and the betting market (odds of victory) from mybookie.com. The odds of victory are transformed into win probabilities to make comparisons to the prices of drivers available on the two big daily fantasy sites.

The first dashboard plots FanDuel Salary on the horizontal axis and DraftKings Salary on the vertical axis. The probability of winning the race, based on betting market odds from mybookie.com, are shown in terms of the size of the circles. The corresponding odds are noted with the driver name. Compared to the linear trend line, this chart illustrates which drivers are relatively more/less expensive on which daily fantasy site. Relatively more expensive drivers on DraftKings include Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Ryan Blaney. Drivers who are relatively more expensive on FanDuel include Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., Kurt Busch, Clint Bowyer, and Christopher Bell.

The second dashboard has two charts, each isolating the probability of winning the race versus salaries on each daily fantasy website. The probability of winning the race is on the horizontal axis and the respective salary for each game is on the vertical axis. A simple logarithmic trend is plotted to illustrate the relationship in both cases. According to the betting market odds, Joey Logano, Aric Almirola, and Jimmie Johnson offer value on both sites. Clint Bowyer, Matt DiBenedetto, and Tyler Reddick offer value on DraftKings. On FanDuel, Ryan Blaney, Brad Kesolowski, and Martin Truex, Jr. appears to offer value when comparing his salary to the betting market odds.

It is my hope that these charts provide some insights into your daily fantasy lineup building and add to the fun for this weekend’s race.

See the First Steps: Football Analytics is available on Amazon and at www.seesports.net/shop.

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