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NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 – Sunday July 19, 2020 3:00 PM

kristinpaul123


Texas Motor Speedway is the site of this week’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. These dashboards combine prices from daily fantasy games, Salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel, and the betting market (odds of victory) from mybookie.com. The odds of victory are transformed into win probabilities to make comparisons to the prices of drivers available on the two big daily fantasy sites.

The first dashboard plots FanDuel Salary on the horizontal axis and DraftKings Salary on the vertical axis. The probability of winning the race, based on betting market odds from mybookie.com, are shown in terms of the size of the circles. The corresponding odds are noted with the driver name. Compared to the linear trend line, this chart illustrates which drivers are relatively more/less expensive on which daily fantasy site. The top drivers this week are relatively more expensive on DraftKings, while Kyle Busch, Ryan Blaney, and Aric Almirola are relatively more expensive on FanDual.

The second dashboard has two charts, each isolating the probability of winning the race versus salaries on each daily fantasy website. The probability of winning the race is on the horizontal axis and the respective salary for each game is on the vertical axis. A simple logarithmic trend is plotted to illustrate the relationship in both cases. According to the betting market odds, Ryan Blaney and Austin Dillon appear to offer some value on both sites. Kyle Busch, Aric Almirola, and Kurt Busch are values on DraftKings, while Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson, and Matt DiBenedetto are values on FanDuel, given their respective betting market odds.

It is my hope that these charts provide some insights into your daily fantasy lineup building and add to the fun for this weekend’s race.

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