TPC Harding Park in San Francisco is the site for the PGA Championship this week. The daily fantasy sites have posted their salaries and the betting market odds are available, so it’s time to show some comparisons between salaries on FanDuel and DraftKings and also between the salaries on these two daily fantasy sites and the betting market odds (taken from mybookie.com) to win the tournament.
On the top panel of the first dashboard, the salaries of each golfer are taken as a percentage of the salary cap in each game. These are then put in a scatterplot (FanDuel on Horizontal Axis and DraftKings on Vertical Axis) with a simple linear trend line. Above the trendline shows where DraftKings has a higher salary-to-cap percentage than FanDuel, while below the line shows the opposite. The top golfers are all relatively more expensive on DraftKings, while golfers such as Matsuyama, Spieth, and Fleetwood are more expensive on FanDuel. The two panels on the bottom show the golfers with the highest difference in salary-to-cap between the two games. On the left, in yellow, shows which golfers have a much higher salary-to-cap figure in DraftKings, while on the right, in blue, shows the golfers with higher salary-to-cap figures in FanDuel.
The second dashboard illustrates the top golfers in terms of betting market odds compared to daily fantasy salaries for the tournament. The betting market odds (10-1, 20-1, etc.) are on the vertical axis while the salaries of the golfers in the respective games (FanDuel on top; DraftKings on bottom) are on the horizontal axis. A simple linear trend is shown for each. Golfers above (to the right) of the line have higher fantasy salaries than the implied betting market odds, while golfers below (to the left) the line have lower fantasy salaries than the implied betting market odds (from the simple linear trend in this sample). Of the top golfers this week on the betting market, Dustin Johnson appears to offer some value on both sites (more so on DraftKings). Rahm and DeChambeau appear to offer some value on Draftkings, based upon betting odds, while Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka, and Xander Schauffele appear to have favorable salaries on FanDuel.
Enjoy this weekend’s golf and best of luck with your lineups!
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