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Updated NFL Watchability Index: Week 15

kristinpaul123

The NFL “Watchability Index” is based upon betting market point spreads and totals for the week and current wins of both teams in the 2020 season. This information can be combined to peer into the future and determine what games are the most “Watchable” for week 15 in the NFL. The visualization shows the absolute value of the point spread on the horizontal axis and the total (over/under) on the vertical axis. Additionally, the sum of the wins (home team plus road team) is noted by color with gold being the highest sums and red being the lowest sums. The shape reveals the day and time of the game. As of right now, I do not have a point spread and total for Detroit-Tennessee, so that game is not included in this week’s index.

Based on this week’s numbers, what games are most “Watchable”? The games that are expected to be both high scoring and close are in the upper-left hand quadrant. Kansas City-New Orleans is the best game of the weekend and a potential Super Bowl preview. Other games in this quadrant have playoff implications for at least one team in each matchup with Chargers-Las Vegas, Tampa Bay- Atlanta, Buffalo-Denver, and Philadelphia-Arizona all anticipated to be high scoring and close.

The lower-left hand quadrant of games are anticipated to be close, but relatively low scoring. Again, playoff implications for at least one team in the matchup are prevalent here with Seattle-Washington likely being the best of the group, but other games could also be quite good including Chicago-Minnesota, Cleveland-NY Giants, San Francisco-Dallas, and New England-Miami.

The upper-right hand quadrant features games anticipated to be high scoring, but not especially close. Houston-Indianapolis and Carolina-Green Bay are featured here. The lower-right hand quadrant of games feature anticipated low scoring blowouts featuring some of the top teams playing against those teams vying for top draft picks in Pittsburgh-Cincinnati, Jacksonville-Baltimore, and the Jets-Rams.

I hope you enjoy this weekend’s games.

See the First Steps: Football Analytics is available on Amazon.


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